Match Info

Date: 28 March 2022, Monday


	Najran		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.52	3.6	5.6
	1.52	3.45	5.4
	2.06	2.88	3.49
	1.47	3.4	6.5
	1.49	3.8	6.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.09)	3.44 ↑ (2.94)	5.55 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Najran
57%

Draw
26.5%

Al-Diriyah
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Najran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Najran's performance.

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Diriyah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najran than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Najran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Diriyah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Najran - Al Diriyah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Najran in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Diriyah is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Al-Diriyah have a series of guest games.

In this match Najran is a favorite.

Al-Diriyah is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Najran won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
22.03.22	Al-Nahda - Najran	0:2 ✺
16.03.22	Najran - Al-Adalh	2:1 ✺
09.03.22	Jeddah - Najran	1:2 ✺
02.03.22	Najran - Al-Ain	1:0 ✺
21.02.22	Al-Orobah - Najran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWT
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
21.03.22	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:2 ✺
15.03.22	Al-Kawkab - Al-Diriyah	1:1 ✺
09.03.22	Al-Ain - Al-Diriyah	0:0 ✺
02.03.22	Al-Diriyah - Al-Shoalah	1:2 ✺
21.02.22	Al-Khaleej - Al-Diriyah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
17.11.21	Al-Diriyah - Najran	1:1
22.03.21	Al-Diriyah - Najran	0:0

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