Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	04:15	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	15:15	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:15	Nova Sport
China	02:15	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Hong Kong	02:15	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	23:45	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Iran	21:45	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	03:15	DAZN Japan
Macao	02:15	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Mexico	12:15	Disney+
North Macedonia	20:15	TDM Desporto
Peru	13:15	Disney+
Russia	21:15	TV Start
South Korea	03:15	Coupang Play
Suriname	15:15	SCCN
Turkey	21:15	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	15:15	Disney+
Venezuela	14:15	Disney+


	Al Duhail		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.95	1.82	Watch
	3.59	4.12	1.88
	1.88	3.78	3.60	Watch
	3.81	4.13	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (6.16)	4 ↓ (5.57)	2.29 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Duhail
31.2%

Draw
25%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.9%

16.5%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17.4%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Duhail's performance.

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Duhail that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+28.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Al Duhail - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al Duhail will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Al Duhail (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Desmas A. (G) 5. Al Rawi B. (C) 21. Castelletto J. 4. Aymen Y. 18. Al Brake S. 19. Bourigeaud B. 6. Verratti M. 8. Edmilson Junior 10. Luis Alberto 77. Boulbina A. 9. Piatek K.	16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 5. Sulaiman M. 3. Ibanez 32. Dams M. 7. Mahrez R. 6. Atangana V. 79. Kessie F. 20. Matheus Goncalves 9. Al Buraikan F. 10. Millot E.
Substitutes
45. Abushanab A. I. 24. Al Amin H. 11. Ali A. 14. Al Minhali G. 22. Bamba I. 30. Burke B. (G) 25. Hamza M. 96. Hassan A. (G) 81. Jamshid T. 15. Luiz Ceara 17. Sabaly Y.	62. Abdo A. (G) 47. Abu Al Shamat M. 30. Al Johani Z. 88. Al Khaibari A. I. 14. Al Muwallad E. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 95. Fallatah A. 46. Hamidou R. 17. Toney I.
Coaches
Belmadi D.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Matheus Goncalves 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Edmilson Junior ⚽,
37', Desmas A. ↓, Burke B. ↑,
42', 1 - 1, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Majrashi A. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luis Alberto ↓, Ali A. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Piatek K. ⚽, Edmilson Junior (A),
55', Sulaiman M. ↓, Hamidou R. ↑,
72', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
73', Millot E. ↓, Toney I. ↑,
75', Kessie F. 🟨,
82', Verratti M. 🟨,
88', Al Brake S. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
90+3', Atangana V. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,

Preview

Al Duhail is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Ahli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Al Duhail won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Duhail
Qatar QSL
25.09.25	Al-Sadd - Al Duhail	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Al-Mesaimeer - Al Duhail	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al Duhail	1:8 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Duhail	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
12.09.25	Al Duhail - Umm-Salal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
26.09.25	Al Hazem - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
23.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Pyramids	1:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
19.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
15.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi	4:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
12.09.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
30.04.21	Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
18.04.21	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail	1:1

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