Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Referee: Tanimoto R. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Nasaf Qarshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	7.25	14
	1.12	7.7	16.5	Watch
	1.19	6.14	13.86	Watch
	1.14	8.4	18	Watch
	1.14	7.6	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.22)	7.42 ↑ (5.33)	15.87 ↑ (9.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
81.4%

Draw
12.7%

Nasaf Qarshi
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

16.9%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Jeddah's performance.

Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Al-Ahli (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 32. Dams M. 30. Al Johani Z. 79. Kessie F. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Millot E. 9. Al Buraikan F. 17. Toney I.	35. Nematov A. (G) 5. Gaybullaev G. 22. Golban I. 2. Davronov A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 92. Eshmurodov U. (C) 6. Rakhmatov M. 19. Colovic S. 24. Bakhromov S. 77. Bozorov O. 18. Norchaev K.
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat M. 88. Al-Khaibri A. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 6. Atangana V. 95. Fallatah A. 46. Hamidou R. 20. Matheus Goncalves 5. Sulaiman M.	8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 55. Abdunazarov D. 10. Ceran D. 33. Khalilov B. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 82. Numonov A. (G) 17. Nurulloev S. 20. Otubanjo Y. 9. Sidikov J. 71. Ubaydullayev J. 1. Vorobey O. (G)
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Berdiev R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Norchaev K. ⚽, Rakhmatov M. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Norchaev K. ⚽, Bozorov O. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Demiral M. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
46', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
47', Bakhromov S. 🟨,
48', Ibanez 🟨,
54', Abdirakhmatov Z. 🟨,
62', Majrashi A. ↓, Atangana V. ↑,
62', Al Johani Z. ↓, Abu Al Shamat M. ↑,
63', Millot E. 🟨,
64', Colovic S. ↓, Abdirakhmatov Z. ↑,
65', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Ceran D. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Millot E. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Millot E. ⚽,
75', Bozorov O. ↓, Mukhitdinov S. ↑,
84', Eshmurodov U. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
84', Millot E. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
84', Norchaev K. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Mahrez R. ⚽, Dams M. (A),
90+13', Davronov A. 🟥,
90+15', 4 - 2, Sulaiman M. ⚽, Abu Al Shamat M. (A),

Preview

Al-Ahli is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nasaf is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nasaf may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 73.97%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
12.09.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
31.08.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:5 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.08.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Neom	1:0 ✺
Saudi Super Cup
23.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 penalties ✺
20.08.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWW
- Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League
10.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	5:0 ✺
23.08.25	Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi	1:0 ✺
07.08.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Andijan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
02.03.16	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1
24.02.16	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1
05.05.15	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0
04.03.15	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1

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