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Current Win Probability
Umm-Salal 12.7%
Draw 17.7%
Al Duhail 69.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.4%
20.2%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
19.3%
67.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Duhail's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Umm Salal - Al Duhail Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shreif L. (G) 21. Saad K. 19. Laidouni N. 37. Diallo A. 22. Udosen E. 6. Aholou J. 32. El Sayed A. 3. Hazaa A. 14. Tannane O. (C) 9. Mance A. 33. Cristo
1. Zakaria S. (G) 5. Al Rawi B. 21. Castelletto J. 22. Bamba I. 18. Al Brake S. 19. Bourigeaud B. (C) 15. Luiz Ceara 34. Soumare B. 81. Jamshid T. 9. Piatek K. 77. Boulbina A.
Substitutes
12. Al Bahnasawi W. 8. Al Hajri S. 11. Al Shammari M. 27. Haroon D. 4. Issa S. 17. Kouassi J. E. 44. Mahdi Al Mejaba 7. Mansour K. 30. Mohammad J. (G) 5. Said F. 15. Tahif A.
29. Al Abdulla R. 14. Al Minhali G. 4. Aymen Y. 30. Burke B. (G) 36. Friakh A. 25. Hamza M. 96. Hassan A. (G) 7. Mohammed I.
Coaches
Albes R.
Belmadi D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Luiz Ceara 🟥,
25', Zakaria S. 🟨,
27', Tannane O. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Bourigeaud B. 🟥,
43', Jamshid T. ↓, Aymen Y. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Mance A. ⚽, Cristo (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Sayed A. ↓, Mansour K. ↑,
46', Piatek K. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
51', Laidouni N. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Al Rawi B. ⚽,
54', Mansour K. 🟨,
59', Hazaa A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
71', Bamba I. 🟨,
71', Aholou J. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Laidouni N. ⚽, Tannane O. (A),
82', Cristo 🟨,
85', Cristo ↓, Haroon D. ↑,
85', Saad K. ↓, Al Hajri S. ↑,
90+8', Bamba I. ↓, Hamza M. ↑,
90+10', Haroon D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Al Duhail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of away games.
In this match, Al Duhail is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
Asia
Qatar
Watch
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Shreif L. (G) 
Saad K. 
Laidouni N. 
Diallo A. 
Udosen E. 
Aholou J. 
Tannane O. (C) 
Mance A. 
Cristo 
Castelletto J. 
Bamba I. 
Bourigeaud B. (C) 
Piatek K. 
Burke B. (G) 
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