Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Al Majma'ah Sports City (Al Majma'ah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Faisaly		Al-Bukayriyah

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.35
	1.95	3.25	3.66	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2	3.46	3.56
	1.9	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	3.59 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
46.2%

Draw
28.4%

Al-Bukayriyah
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

29.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Faisaly's form might have worsened.

Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Bukayriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Faisaly - Al Bukayriyah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Al Hasawi M. (G) 77. Al Shereaf A. 2. Barnawi Y. 4. Raphael Silva 3. Doshy M. 5. Eduardo Henrique (C) 8. Al Badah A. 17. Al Sabeat A. 27. Al Rahmani S. 7. Al Nakhli M. 12. Morato	22. Al Khamali B. (G) 90. Fallatah S. 19. Pinero F. 75. Al Shuwayyi K. 6. Al Barakah A. 2. Jaafari I. 10. Kaabi N. 8. Faik H. (C) 66. Sharahili R. 9. Ousmane Pato 14. Moya J.
Substitutes
24. Al Dossary A. 28. Al Fuhaid M. 73. Al Harbi H. 14. Al Mogren A. 29. Al Sahli A. 72. Gabous S. (G) 22. Haddad M. 37. Kadan W. 30. Shetaimi M.	81. Al Barakah I. 23. Al Harbi M. 7. Al Hazemi K. 32. Al Malki M. 11. Al Muwallad S. 26. Al Nakhli M. 4. Baajaj B. 1. Jawhar M. (G) 18. Sane M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Eduardo Henrique ↓, Al Harbi H. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Al Shuwayyi K. ⚽, Jaafari I. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Raphael Silva ⚽, Al Badah A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
69', Al Harbi H. ↓, Haddad M. ↑,
72', Jaafari I. ↓, Al Malki M. ↑,
73', Kaabi N. 🟨,
74', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
81', Kaabi N. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
84', Raphael Silva 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Al Shuwayyi K. ⚽, Faik H. (A),
90+2', Al Nakhli M. ↓, Al Sahli A. ↑,
90+2', Doshy M. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
90+7', Fallatah S. ↓, Al Barakah I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Al-Faisaly has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Bukayriyah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Faisaly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Bukiryah	6	0	2	4	4:11	-7	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
06.01.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Orobah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWT
- Al-Bukayriyah FC
Saudi Division 1
06.01.26	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Batin	5:1 ✺
31.12.25	Jeddah - Al-Bukayriyah	1:1 ✺
24.12.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Al-Anwar - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
15.03.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Faisaly	1:1
03.11.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah	0:1
03.03.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah	5:2
03.10.23	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Faisaly	0:0

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