Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium (Haʼil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Jabalain		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.58
	2.49	3.2	2.64	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.48	3.13	2.57	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.39)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	2.6 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Jabalain
36.1%

Draw
29.3%

Al-Faisaly
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Al Jabalain - Al Faisaly Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Jabalain will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Jabalain will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Waked M. (G) 27. Al Nuweqi H. 4. Queiros D. 5. Al Nakhli I. 3. Al Bukhari A. 20. Al Harbi A. 10. Pessoa P. 6. Madani I. 7. Novais J. 11. Cinari E. 9. Toure C.	72. Gabous S. (G) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 17. Al Sabeat A. 4. Raphael Silva 3. Doshy M. 73. Al Harbi H. 77. Al Shereaf A. 5. Eduardo Henrique (C) 12. Morato 90. Luvannor 27. Al Rahmani S.
Substitutes
99. Al Dossari F. 1. Al Ghubaini A. (G) 92. Al Habib M. 12. Al Harbi F. 2. Al Mutairi N. 18. Al-Shammari K. S. 55. Al Shammari Z. 28. Al Shehri A. 15. Ashraf A.	8. Al Badah A. 24. Al Dossary A. 14. Al Mogren A. 7. Al Nakhli M. 29. Al Sahli A. 2. Barnawi Y. 22. Haddad M. 21. Nassief A. (G) 30. Shetaimi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Luvannor 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Novais J. ⚽, Al Nuweqi H. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Morato ⚽, Luvannor (A),
34', Doshy M. 🟨,
45+1', Luvannor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Cinari E. 🟨,
55', Pessoa P. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Toure C. ⚽, Queiros D. (A),
67', Pessoa P. ↓, Al Harbi F. ↑,
68', Cinari E. ↓, Al-Shammari K. S. ↑,
74', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
80', Al Mhemaid A. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
80', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Al Badah A. ↑,
81', Madani I. ↓, Al Habib M. ↑,
90', Toure C. ↓, Ashraf A. ↑,
90+1', Doshy M. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
90+1', Al Rahmani S. ↓, Barnawi Y. ↑,
90+2', Al Badah A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 1.

In recent matches, Al-Jabalain has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Faisaly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Jabalain won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Jabalain	6	2	3	1	4:4	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Jabalain - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Jabalain FC
Saudi Division 1
30.12.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTTWT
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Orobah	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
23.01.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Jabalain	0:1
20.08.24	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	0:1
19.02.24	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	1:1
14.09.23	Al-Faisaly - Al-Jabalain	2:0
02.02.23	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	1:2
31.08.22	Al-Faisaly - Al-Jabalain	3:1

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