Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 13 March 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Shoalah		Najran

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.49	2.9	2.6
	2.5	3.07	2.78
	2.55	2.8	2.62
	2.5	3.1	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)	2.65 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shoalah
35.3%

Draw
30.7%

Najran
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shoalah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Najran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shoalah than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najran than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Najran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Al Shoalah - Najran Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Shoalah will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Najran will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Najran: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Shoalah won 3.

Al-Shoalah has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Najran is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Al-Shoalah won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shoalah won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shoalah Al Kharj
Saudi Division 1
07.03.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Shoalah	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Al-Shoalah - Al Akhdoud	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Al-Shoalah - Al-Sahel Qatif	0:1 ✺
06.02.23	Jeddah - Al-Shoalah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
07.03.23	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Al-Ain - Najran	0:0 ✺
20.02.23	Najran - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Al-Jabalain - Najran	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Najran - Al Hazem	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
19.10.22	Najran - Al-Shoalah	1:1
09.02.22	Al-Shoalah - Najran	2:1
29.09.21	Najran - Al-Shoalah	0:1
17.02.21	Najran - Al-Shoalah	0:1
28.10.20	Al-Shoalah - Najran	1:1
26.02.20	Najran - Al-Shoalah	0:1
23.01.19	Najran - Al-Shoalah	0:0

Al-Shoalah - Najran