Match Info

Stars League - Round 21

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Al-Gharraf		Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

	1	X	2
	4.15	2.98	1.88
	4.15	2.98	1.89
	4.23	2.97	1.93	Watch
	4	2.9	1.85
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (4.11)	2.96 ↑ (2.92)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharraf
21.8%

Draw
30.5%

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

30.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

29.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al-Gharraf have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Jawad M. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Dakhel H. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Rammdan W. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Al-Gharraf has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Gharraf may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Gharraf won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	9	2	5	2	14:12	2	11
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
26.02.26	Zakho - Al-Gharraf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Duhok	4:3 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Gharraf	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
28.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Newroz	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Al Mosul - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
25.10.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Gharraf	1:1

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