Match Info

Stars League - Round 11

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	20:00	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Al-Talaba		Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.80	2.65
	2.65	2.52	2.85
	2.72	2.35	2.96
	2.71	2.6	2.95	Watch
	2.65	2.3	2.9
	2.6	2.64	2.79
	2.7	2.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.88)	2.54 ↓ (3.1)	2.86 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
33.6%

Draw
35.1%

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
31.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.1%

28.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.8%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Talaba - Al Quwa Al Jawiya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Salmani J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Al-Talaba has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:19 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Talaba against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Talaba	11	3	5	3	11:14	-3	14
13	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	11	2	6	3	14:13	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.1%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
16.10.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
08.10.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Jolan	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Karkh	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTLW
- Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Iraqi Premier League
17.10.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
12.10.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al Ain	1:4 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
07.10.26	Al Mosul - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Diyala	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Neftchi Fargona - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
15.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Talaba	2:0
20.02.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2
15.06.25	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:1
10.01.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Talaba	1:1
05.04.24	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2
24.12.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Talaba	1:1
04.06.23	Al-Talaba - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2

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