Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 9

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah) 🌤️ ...


	Al-Ittihad Jeddah		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.6
	1.78	3.85	3.65
	1.79	4	3.6
	1.78	4.24	3.66
	1.77	4	3.55
	1.81	4.1	3.68
	1.8	4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	3.98 ↑ (3.85)	3.63 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
51.6%

Draw
23.1%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

23.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

21.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Jeddah's performance.

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Al Ittihad Jeddah - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Ittihad (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Al-Shabab could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Al-Ittihad carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ittihad has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:25 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ittihad against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 25:14 goals (averaging 2.1:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Ittihad	10	7	2	1	20:10	10	23
12	Al Shabab	10	2	5	3	14:14	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
AFC Champions League
13.10.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
10.10.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
11.09.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Feiha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWW
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
11.10.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Feiha	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Al Hazem - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
17.05.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:2
27.12.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0
Saudi King Cup
29.11.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	4:1
Saudi Professional League
20.05.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:3
Saudi King Cup
01.04.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:2
Saudi Professional League
22.01.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:1
26.04.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:3

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