Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	20:00	Laola1
Brazil	15:00	BandSports
Canada	14:00	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 9
Czech Republic	20:00	Strike, Strike
Germany	20:00	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Romania	21:00	Prima Sport 5
Saudi Arabia	21:00	Thmanyah App
Turkey	21:00	HT Spor
Usa	14:00	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Shabab Riyadh		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	7.50	4.75	1.30
	7.50	5.30	1.29
	7.90	6.07	1.31
	7.9	5.95	1.3
	7.80	6.00	1.29
	9.73	5.85	1.32
	7.60	5.60	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (5.25)	5.65 ↑ (4.3)	1.31 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shabab Riyadh
11.7%

Draw
16.6%

Al-Hilal
71.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

21.1%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

20.1%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shabab Riyadh's form might have worsened.

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Al Shabab Riyadh - Al Hilal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Al-Hilal (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaw M. (G) 17. Al Thani M. 4. Jedvaj T. 3. Barry M. T. 40. Al Asmari A. 22. Al Hammami H. 8. Brownhill J. 29. Adli Y. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 11. Podence D. 9. Martinez Tobinson R. B.	37. Bono (G) 2. Mahzari M. 3. Koulibaly K. 87. Tambakti H. 24. Al Harbi M. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 28. Kanno M. (C) 8. Neves R. 38. Summerville C. 27. Mandash S. 11. Watkins O.
Substitutes
77. Al Dubais H. 74. Al Hadhood A. 99. Al Khorayef H. 33. Al Mahasneh M. (G) 6. Al Nashri A. 24. Al Oboud A. 94. Al Rajeh M. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 37. Matuq A.	55. Al Dawood M. 6. Al Dawsari N. 77. Al Habashi N. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 44. Al Mutairi S. 33. Al Owais M. (G) 72. Dahal S. 7. Martinelli G. 75. Meite M.
Coaches
Letsch T.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Al Thani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Podence D. ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Mahzari M. (A),
63', Al Asmari A. ↓, Matuq A. ↑,
68', Mandash S. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
76', Tambakti H. 🟨,
76', Tambakti H. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Watkins O. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
88', Summerville C. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
88', Al Harbi M. ↓, Dahal S. ↑,
90', Barry M. T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 0.

Al-Shabab has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Hilal is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Hilal is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Hilal	10	9	0	1	30:9	21	27
10	Al Shabab	11	3	5	3	20:15	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
30.08.26	Al Hazem - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
16.08.26	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:2 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.08.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTLL
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
01.09.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Hilal	1:5 ✺
20.08.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Faisaly	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Doha	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
27.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:5
31.10.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0
21.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:2
30.11.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:2
30.03.24	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:4
29.09.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:0
Arab Club Championship Cup
09.08.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:1

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