Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	GTV, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Shamal		Al-Ittihad Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	3.80	1.77
	4.2	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.29	4.16	1.75
	4.05	4.13	1.74	Watch
	4.2	4	1.71
	4.18	4.18	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.9)	4 ↓ (4.5)	1.73 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
22.5%

Draw
23.4%

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

19.7%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

19.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Al Shamal - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Seck B. (G) 6. Khoder M. 4. Mari P. 24. Murillo J. 16. Bais F. 28. Benaissa N. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 10. Collado A. 70. Tiago Silva 22. Said W. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)	1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Pereira D. (C) 15. Kadesh H. 25. Abdi F. 5. Rios R. 30. Lopy D. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 10. Aouar H. 34. Bergwijn S. 21. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
17. Al Ahrak A. 14. Ali O. 67. Al Khater S. (G) 8. Asad A. 2. Awad M. 45. El Rady A. (G) 20. Sabaly Y. 27. Sayyar A. 23. Termanini M. 47. Waad F.	50. Al Absi M. (G) 8. Ali M. 88. Al Mermesh O. (G) 22. Al Sahafi M. 11. Al Shehri S. 42. Fagihy M. 41. Fallatah M. 99. Ilenikhena G. 60. Kaabi R. 4. Simic J. 23. Wijnaldum G.
Coaches
Prats D.	Wissing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Bounedjah B. ⚽, Ben Romdhane M. (A),
64', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
64', Al Ghamdi A. ↓, Wijnaldum G. ↑,
79', Khoder M. ↓, Termanini M. ↑,
79', Said W. ↓, Sabaly Y. ↑,
82', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
82', Abdi F. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
83', Bais F. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
87', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
87', Tiago Silva ↓, Asad A. ↑,
90', Aouar H. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Bergwijn S. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Al-Shamal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Ittihad is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Shamal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ittihad is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
10.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania	4:2 ✺
Qatar Cup
01.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Rayyan	3:4 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL
27.08.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWT
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
11.09.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Feiha	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hazem	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW

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