Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Nova Sport
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	11:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub 1
Hong Kong	00:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	21:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	GTV, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	10:00	Disney+
Netherlands	18:00	ESPN 3
Peru	11:00	Disney+
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	19:00	Sport 1
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+
International	16:00	Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Shamal		Al-Ittihad Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	3.80	1.77
	4.2	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.29	4.16	1.75
	4.05	4.13	1.74	Watch
	4.2	4	1.71
	4.18	4.18	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.9)	4 ↓ (4.5)	1.73 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
22.5%

Draw
23.4%

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.1%

19.7%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

19%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Al Shamal - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Seck B. (G) 6. Khoder M. 4. Mari P. 24. Murillo J. 16. Bais F. 28. Benaissa N. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 10. Collado A. 70. Tiago Silva 22. Said W. 11. Bounedjah B. (C)	1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Pereira D. (C) 15. Kadesh H. 25. Abdi F. 5. Rios R. 30. Lopy D. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 10. Aouar H. 34. Bergwijn S. 21. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
17. Al Ahrak A. 14. Ali O. 67. Al Khater S. (G) 8. Asad A. 2. Awad M. 45. El Rady A. (G) 20. Sabaly Y. 27. Sayyar A. 23. Termanini M. 47. Waad F.	50. Al Absi M. (G) 8. Ali M. 88. Al Mermesh O. (G) 22. Al Sahafi M. 11. Al Shehri S. 42. Fagihy M. 41. Fallatah M. 99. Ilenikhena G. 60. Kaabi R. 4. Simic J. 23. Wijnaldum G.
Coaches
Prats D.	Wissing J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Bounedjah B. ⚽, Ben Romdhane M. (A),
64', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
64', Al Ghamdi A. ↓, Wijnaldum G. ↑,
79', Khoder M. ↓, Termanini M. ↑,
79', Said W. ↓, Sabaly Y. ↑,
82', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Sahafi M. ↑,
82', Abdi F. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
83', Bais F. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
87', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
87', Tiago Silva ↓, Asad A. ↑,
90', Aouar H. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Bergwijn S. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Al-Shamal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Ittihad is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Shamal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ittihad is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of AFC Champions League for now

Shamal: 0.74% Al Ittihad: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL
10.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania	4:2 ✺
Qatar Cup
01.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Rayyan	3:4 penalties ✺
Qatar QSL
27.08.26	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:3 ✺
21.08.26	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLWT
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
11.09.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Feiha	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:0 ✺
24.08.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hazem	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW

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