Match Info

Stars League - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Al-Kahraba		Al-Karkh

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	2.92
	2.29	2.81	3.12
	2.35	2.98	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.28	3.02	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.6)	2.9 ↓ (3.09)	3 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kahraba
38.8%

Draw
31.1%

Al-Karkh
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kahraba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Karkh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Al Kahraba - Al Karkh Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Kahraba will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Karkh will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Raad S. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Soro Nanga M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 3, Soro Nanga M. ⚽,
78', 1 - 3, Esquerdinha L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Kahraba won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Kahraba won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kahraba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7
16	Al Kahraba	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Kahraba - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Al-Karkh - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.19%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kahraba
Iraqi Premier League
23.04.26	Zakho - Al-Kahraba	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Naft Maysan	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Kahraba	3:2 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Qasim	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW
- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
22.04.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Karkh	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Karkh - Diyala	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Newroz - Al-Karkh	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.10.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Kahraba	1:1
18.02.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Karkh	2:0
30.11.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Kahraba	1:1
18.06.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Kahraba	3:3
04.12.23	Al-Kahraba - Al-Karkh	2:2
25.04.23	Al-Karkh - Al-Kahraba	3:1
25.11.22	Al-Kahraba - Al-Karkh	2:1

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