Match Info

Stars League - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Karkh		Diyala

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.45
	2.12	2.87	3.44
	2.14	2.93	3.53	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.5
	2.12	2.88	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
42.5%

Draw
31.6%

Diyala
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Al Karkh - Diyala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Raheem A. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, Tandia I. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Karkh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Karkh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
08.04.26	Newroz - Al-Karkh	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Karkh	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Al-Karkh - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLT
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
09.04.26	Diyala - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Diyala - Newroz	1:1 ✺
31.03.26	Al-Qasim - Diyala	0:4 ✺
27.03.26	Diyala - Najaf	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Arbil - Diyala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
04.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karkh	1:0
14.06.25	Diyala - Al-Karkh	2:0
08.02.25	Al-Karkh - Diyala	3:1

Upcoming Matches