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Current Win Probability
Al-Karma 51.7%
Draw 27.3%
Zakho 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
29.3%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
26.9%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Karma's performance.
Zakho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Al Karma - Zakho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟥,
65', 1 - 0, Bassene P. ⚽, Jasim S. (A),
90+2', 🟥,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd and 10th).
Al-Karma has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Zakho has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Al-Karma may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Al-Karma carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Al-Karma has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Karma against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).
Iraq
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