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Current Win Probability
Al-Khaleej 27.6%
Draw 24.1%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
23.9%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
23.5%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khaleej's form might have worsened.
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ittihad Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Khaleej, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ittihad Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Khaleej - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Al-Khaleej (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Al-Khaleej (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Khaleej (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (G) 39. Al Hamsal S. 4. Schenkeveld B. 3. Al Khabrani M. (C) 5. Rebocho P. 11. Fernandes P. 12. Kanabah M. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 9. Masouras G. 10. Fortounis K. 7. King J.
1. Rajkovic P. (G) 32. Al Julaydan A. 6. Al Mousa S. 2. Pereira D. 12. Mitaj M. 7. Kante N. 10. Aouar H. 8. Fabinho (C) 78. Roger 11. Al Shehri S. 19. Diaby M.
Substitutes
24. Abdoulraouf A. 93. Al Amri S. 17. Al Hafith A. 96. Al Haidari M. (G) 25. Al Haydar A. 28. Al Jayzani H. 13. Asiri A. 15. Hamzi M. 33. Nasser B.
22. Al Bishi A. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 80. Al Ghamdi H. 14. Al Nashri A. 37. Al Saqour F. 13. Al Shanqiti M. 66. Barnawi M. 47. Yousef H. A. M. (G)
Coaches
Donis G.
Conceicao S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, King J. ⚽, Fortounis K. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Fortounis K. ⚽, Kanabah M. (A),
22', Mitaj M. 🟨,
27', Al Shehri S. 🟨,
29', Schenkeveld B. 🟨,
32', Fabinho 🟥,
35', Al Shehri S. ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
37', 3 - 0, Fortounis K. (Pen),
45+3', Al Hawsawi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Al Shanqiti M. ↑,
47', 4 - 0, King J. ⚽, Fortounis K. (A),
51', 4 - 1, Diaby M. ⚽, Aouar H. (A),
67', Fernandes P. ↓, Al Amri S. ↑,
68', Kanabah M. ↓, Hamzi M. ↑,
72', Roger ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
84', Masouras G. ↓, Asiri A. ↑,
84', Al Hamsal S. ↓, Al Jayzani H. ↑,
86', 4 - 2, Diaby M. ⚽, Al Shanqiti M. (A),
86', Al Mousa S. ↓, Barnawi M. ↑,
87', Aouar H. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
90+4', Fortounis K. ↓, Al Haydar A. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 3, Mitaj M. ⚽, Al Ghamdi F. (A),
90+7', Al Haydar A. 🟨,
90+8', Diaby M. 🟨,
90+8', 4 - 4, Al Ghamdi F. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 0.
Al-Khaleej is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Ittihad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Al-Ittihad could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:28. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).