Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 21

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Strike, Strike
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
World	Onefootball, Sport 24 Extra


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al-Ittihad Jeddah

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	4.5
	1.68	4.2	4.2
	1.62	4.25	4.45
	1.65	4.41	4.96
	1.61	4.32	4.74	Watch
	1.53	3.9	4.5
	1.61	4.53	5.32	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	4.24 ↑ (4.02)	4.71 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
58.1%

Draw
22.1%

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

21.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Nassr (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Nassr (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Nassr (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. (C) 3. Simakan M. 26. Martinez I. 5. Al Amri A. 21. Coman K. 11. Brozovic M. 17. Al Khaibari A. 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 20. Angelo	1. Rajkovic P. (G) 13. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Pereira D. 15. Kadesh H. 12. Mitaj M. 8. Fabinho (C) 17. Doumbia M. 32. Al Julaydan A. 10. Aouar H. 19. Diaby M. 21. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 9. Al Hamdan A. 19. Al Hassan A. 83. Al Najdi S. 4. Al Sharari N. 12. Boushal N. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M. 23. Yahya A.	50. Al Absi M. (G) 22. Al Bishi A. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 80. Al Ghamdi H. 14. Al Nashri A. 66. Barnawi M. 41. Fallatah M. 90. Haji T. 47. Yousef H. A. M. (G)
Coaches
Jesus J.	Conceicao S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Al Julaydan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
49', Fabinho 🟨,
62', Al Ghamdi A. 🟨,
73', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Barnawi M. ↑,
76', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
82', Pereira D. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Mane S. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Coman K. 🟨,
89', Mane S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
89', Coman K. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
90', Kadesh H. ↓, Haji T. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Angelo ⚽, Boushal N. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.

Al-Nassr is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the team to beat.

We predict that Al-Nassr will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19
4	Al Ittihad	8	5	2	1	14:9	5	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
02.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
01.02.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Najma	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Al Fateh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:2 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2
Saudi Professional League
26.09.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2
Saudi Super Cup
19.08.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1
Saudi Professional League
07.05.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:3
06.12.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1
27.05.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	4:2
26.12.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:5

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