Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 6

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 4
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	Gotv
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium, Sport 1
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Al-Ittihad Jeddah		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.5	1.62
	4.15	4.45	1.62
	4.42	4.6	1.63
	30.00	14.21	1.01	Watch
	4.29	4.3	1.63
	3.55	4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.42 ↑ (3.55)	6.01 ↑ (4)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
12.8%

Draw
17.9%

Al-Hilal
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

23.1%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

22.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ittihad Jeddah's form might have worsened.

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ittihad Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Al Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Hilal will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Yousef H. A. M. (G) 32. Al Julaydan A. 6. Al Mousa S. 2. Pereira D. 12. Mitaj M. 17. Doumbia M. 10. Aouar H. 7. Kante N. 8. Fabinho 19. Diaby M. 9. Benzema K. (C)	37. Bono (G) 88. Al Yami H. 3. Koulibaly K. 87. Tambakti H. 19. Hernandez T. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R. 16. Al Dawsari N. (C) 10. Malcom 9. Marcos Leonardo 7. Nunez D.
Substitutes
50. Al Absi M. (G) 22. Al Bishi A. 27. Al Ghamdi A. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 80. Al Ghamdi H. 14. Al Nashri A. 37. Al Saqour F. 11. Al Shehri S. 66. Barnawi M.	5. Al Bulayhi A. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 89. Al Malki A. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 14. Darisi A. 28. Kanno M. 78. Lajami A. 21. Radif A.
Coaches
Conceicao S.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
18', Al Mousa S. 🟨,
28', Mitaj M. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Doumbia M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Marcos Leonardo ⚽,
59', Al Mousa S. ↓, Al Ghamdi A. ↑,
68', Hernandez T. 🟨,
73', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
77', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
87', Aouar H. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
87', Mitaj M. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
89', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
90+1', Nunez D. ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
90+2', Doumbia M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2.

Al-Ittihad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Hilal is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Hilal is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 24:43. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.3:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:4 ✺
Saudi Professional League
17.10.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
26.09.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
23.09.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd	3:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
18.10.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Hilal	0:5 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal	2:3 ✺
Saudi Professional League
25.09.25	Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud	3:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.02.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	4:1
Saudi King Cup
07.01.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:3 penalties
Saudi Professional League
21.09.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:1
Saudi King Cup
30.04.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	1:2
Saudi Super Cup
11.04.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	1:4
AFC Champions League
12.03.24	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Hilal	0:2
05.03.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:0

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