Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Brazil	BandSports
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Portugal	Sport TV5
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Turkey	HT Spor, S Sport+
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Kholood		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.6
	7.00	4.75	1.40
	4.9	3.75	1.62
	5.75	4.24	1.58
	5.3	4.1	1.58	Watch
	5.25	4.05	1.58
	5.65	3.93	1.67	Watch
	5	3.9	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↓ (7.4)	4.05 ↓ (4.98)	1.59 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
17.2%

Draw
23.3%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.6%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.9%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Kholood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Kholood - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yousef H. A. M. (G) 15. Solan R. 5. Utkus E. 25. Camara M. 38. Pinas S. (C) 8. Cisse S. 6. Buckley J. 46. Al Aliwa A. 10. Kortajarena I. 11. da Costa C. 22. Domingues J.	16. Mendy E. (C) 46. Hamidou R. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 31. Balobaid S. 6. Atangana V. 19. Bondarenko A. 8. Spertsyan E. 7. Trincao 17. Toney I. 9. Al Buraikan F.
Substitutes
24. Abdulghani O. 27. Al Ajian A. 39. Al Dawsari A. 7. Al Shehri S. 48. Al Yahya M. (G) 41. Barabaa I. 52. Jaman R. 70. Sawan M.	29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 30. Al Johani Z. 11. Al Mutairi M. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 66. Masoud N. 21. Radif A. 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Pusic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Kortajarena I. ⚽, da Costa C. (A),
35', Yousef H. A. M. 🟨,
43', Toney I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hamidou R. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
64', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
64', Balobaid S. ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Toney I. ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
73', Kortajarena I. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
76', Camara M. 🟨,
78', Al Aliwa A. ↓, Sawan M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Domingues J. ⚽, Solan R. (A),
87', Bondarenko A. ↓, Radif A. ↑,
90+2', Domingues J. ↓, Al Shehri S. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Sawan M. ⚽, da Costa C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 1.

Al-Kholood has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Ahli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Kholood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Kholood has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Outrights of Saudi Professional League for now

Al Ahli SC: 15.97% Al Kholood: 0.43%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ahli SC	7	4	0	3	16:10	6	12
7	Al Kholood	7	3	3	1	12:10	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
26.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Taawoun	3:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
19.08.26	Jeddah - Al-Kholood	0:5 ✺
Saudi Professional League
15.08.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Luton Town - Al-Kholood	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWTL
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
26.08.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Auckland FC	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.08.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Abha	4:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
17.08.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
16.05.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Kholood	3:0
17.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1
17.05.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Kholood	4:1
15.01.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:0
Saudi Division 1
07.02.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2
05.09.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Kholood	1:0

Upcoming Matches