Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Japan	U-NEXT
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Kholood		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4
	1.98	3.25	3.8
	2.05	3.2	3.75
	2.02	3.25	4.13
	1.95	3.26	4.05	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.86	3.54	3.82	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)	3.26 ↑ (3.09)	3.85 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Kholood
47.1%

Draw
28.6%

Al Raed
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Al Kholood - Al Raed Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al-Kholood will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Al Raed will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Kholood: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Marcelo Grohe (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 5. Troost-Ekong W. 23. Gyomber N. 27. Al Shamrani H. 10. Collado A. 96. N'Doram K. 15. Dieng A. 22. Al Hammami H. 11. Sawan M. 9. Maolida M.	50. Sunyur M. (G) 28. Al Jayzani H. 21. Gonzalez O. 94. Al Rajeh M. 12. Al Hawsawi Z. 32. Al Dossary M. 17. Abeid M. 8. Normann M. 26. Bouzok Y. 7. Sayoud A. 15. Al Amri S.
Substitutes
20. Al-Arini B. 12. Al Asmari H. 4. Al Dosari J. 8. Al Safari A. 7. Al Shahri S. 30. Al Shammari M. (G) 29. Al Shamrani F. 45. Asiri A. 99. Khalifah M.	9. Al Ghamdi R. 30. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 24. Al Subaie K. 13. Al Yousif A. 4. Hazazi A. 18. Hazazi N. 45. Sunbul Y. 70. Turay M. 5. Tweh S.
Coaches
Zekri N.	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Dieng A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Sayoud A. ⚽, Al Hawsawi Z. (A),
33', Abeid M. 🟨,
45+7', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Sawan M. ⚽,
72', Al Jayzani H. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
84', Sawan M. ↓, Asiri A. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Dieng A. ⚽, Asiri A. (A),
88', Al Hammami H. 🟨,
90+1', Dieng A. ↓, Al Shamrani F. ↑,
90+1', Normann M. ↓, Turay M. ↑,
90+7', Al Hammami H. ↓, Al Safari A. ↑,
90+7', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shahri S. ↑,
90+8', Al Shamrani F. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Recent matches Al-Kholood is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Raed is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al-Kholood is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Kholood Club
Saudi Professional League
20.01.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
15.01.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Kholood	2:3 ✺
06.12.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Qadisiya	0:3 ✺
28.11.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LWWLW
- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
20.01.25	Al Raed - Al Akhdoud	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Raed	4:1 ✺
10.01.25	Al Raed - Damac	0:2 ✺
Saudi King Cup
06.01.25	Al Raed - Al-Jabalain	2:1 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
07.12.24	Al-Hilal - Al Raed	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

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