Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Al Kuwait Sports Club Stadium (Kuwait)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball


	Al Kuwait		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.71
	4	4	1.72
	3.7	4.47	1.72
	3.88	4.39	1.66	Watch
	3.9	3.8	1.73
	3.99	3.94	1.73
	4	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.42)	4.06 ↑ (3.42)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Kuwait
23.7%

Draw
22.6%

Shabab Al-Ahli
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Kuwait has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Kuwait than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Al Kuwait - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kameel A. (G) 23. Freih M. 22. Aboulfath A. 35. Zola A. 8. Dhafeeri A. A. 4. Hany R. 21. Hussain A. (C) 14. Abdelfattah A. A. 37. Jabrane Y. 27. Khenissi T. Y. 26. Marhoon M.	12. Hamza H. (G) 2. Iago Santos 25. Igor Gomes 5. Abbas W. (C) 19. Mateusao 20. Azmoun S. 80. Breno Lemos 10. Cartabia F. 7. Suhail H. 66. Ezatolahi S. 31. Kauan Santos
Substitutes
3. Al Enezi M. 10. Al Fadhel T. 5. Al Hajeri F. 42. Al Kharqawi K. 6. Al-Khebizi Y. 34. Al Otaibi D. (G) 11. Daham M. 13. Hamoud F. 7. Kamil I.	11. Al Ghassani Y. 22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 77. Guilherme 26. Khamis E. 40. Milivojevic L. 17. Planic B. 13. Renan 16. Rikelme 50. Suleiman S. 23. Waleed R. (G) 57. Yuri
Coaches
Jovovic N.	Sousa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Cartabia F. ⚽, Mateusao (A),
38', 1 - 1, Zola A. ⚽, Abdelfattah A. A. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Marhoon M. ⚽, Zola A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Abbas W. ↓, Rikelme ↑,
46', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Khamis E. ↑,
65', Suhail H. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Guilherme ⚽,
70', Hany R. 🟨,
71', 3 - 2, Abdelfattah A. A. ⚽, Marhoon M. (A),
75', Khenissi T. Y. ↓, Kamil I. ↑,
75', Freih M. ↓, Al Hajeri F. ↑,
81', Khamis E. 🟨,
82', Kamil I. 🟨,
85', Iago Santos ↓, Milivojevic L. ↑,
85', Breno Lemos ↓, Yuri ↑,
88', Marhoon M. ↓, Daham M. ↑,
88', Dhafeeri A. A. ↓, Al Enezi M. ↑,
89', Aboulfath A. 🟨,
90', 3 - 3, Milivojevic L. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Kuwait won 4.

Recent matches Al Kuwait is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shabab Al-Ahli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shabab Al-Ahli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al Kuwait have a series of guest games.

In this match Shabab Al-Ahli is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al Kuwait won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:5 (average 2.3:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Kuwait won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Kuwait SC
Kuwaiti Premier League
02.11.24	Al Tadamun - Al Kuwait	0:3 ✺
28.10.24	Al Kuwait - Kazma	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	4:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
19.10.24	Al Salmiya - Al Kuwait	3:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.24	Al-Hussein Irbid - Al Kuwait	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Football League
27.10.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Sharjah	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	4:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
19.10.24	Dibba Al-Hisn - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:2 ✺
UAE Football League
06.10.24	Bani Yas - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:5 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
23.10.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	4:1
Kuwaiti Premier League
11.05.17	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0
26.02.17	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	0:3
09.04.16	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:0
26.12.15	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	1:3
02.10.14	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0
24.01.14	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0

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