Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Al Rashid Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 2 Baltic


	Shabab Al-Ahli		Al Kuwait

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.42	4.75	6	Watch
	1.41	4.5	6.56
	1.45	4.47	5.65	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6	Watch
	1.45	4.5	5.88
	1.42	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	4.54 ↓ (4.67)	5.98 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shabab Al-Ahli
64.5%

Draw
20.2%

Al Kuwait
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.6%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.8%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Al Kuwait has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Kuwait than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Shabab Al Ahli - Al Kuwait Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Al Kuwait will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hamza H. (G) 25. Igor Gomes 2. Iago Santos 5. Abbas W. (C) 31. Kauan Santos 19. Mateusao 26. Khamis E. 66. Ezatolahi S. 7. Suhail H. 11. Al Ghassani Y. 9. Dabbur M.	40. Kameel A. (G) 23. Freih M. 22. Aboulfath A. 13. Hamoud F. (C) 3. Al Enezi M. 4. Hany R. 9. Al Harbi F. 21. Dara A. P. 14. Abdelfattah A. A. 27. Khenissi T. Y. 11. Daham M.
Substitutes
22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 20. Azmoun S. 80. Breno Lemos 77. Guilherme 40. Milivojevic L. 17. Planic B. 13. Renan 16. Rikelme 50. Suleiman S. 23. Waleed R. (G) 57. Yuri	10. Al Fadhel T. 33. Al Houshan S. (G) 42. Al Kharqawi K. 6. Al-Khebizi Y. 2. Al Sanea S. 8. Dhafeeri A. A. 37. Jabrane Y. 7. Kamil I. 26. Marhoon M. 20. Naser Y. 35. Zola A.
Coaches
Sousa P.	Jovovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Dabbur M. ⚽,
17', Khamis E. 🟨,
29', Al Harbi F. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Mateusao (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Al Harbi F. ↓, Marhoon M. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Suhail H. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Khamis E. ⚽, Suhail H. (A),
66', Khamis E. ↓, Yuri ↑,
66', Dabbur M. ↓, Breno Lemos ↑,
66', Khenissi T. Y. ↓, Naser Y. ↑,
66', Al Enezi M. ↓, Dhafeeri A. A. ↑,
77', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Milivojevic L. ↑,
77', Al Ghassani Y. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
81', Hany R. ↓, Al-Khebizi Y. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Naser Y. ⚽, Marhoon M. (A),
90+1', Abbas W. ↓, Suleiman S. ↑,
90+1', Abdelfattah A. A. ↓, Al Kharqawi K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shabab Al-Ahli won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Shabab Al-Ahli have a series of guest games.

In this match Shabab Al-Ahli is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shabab Al-Ahli to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Shabab Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1:17 (average 0.1:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Shabab Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:9 (average 0.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
UAE Presidents Cup
19.10.24	Dibba Al-Hisn - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:2 ✺
UAE Football League
06.10.24	Bani Yas - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:5 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.24	Nasaf Qarshi - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:1 ✺
UAE Football League
27.09.24	Al Urooba - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:4 ✺
22.09.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Al Kuwait SC
Kuwaiti Premier League
19.10.24	Al Salmiya - Al Kuwait	3:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
02.10.24	Al-Hussein Irbid - Al Kuwait	2:1 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
27.09.24	Al Kuwait - Al Arabi	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Kuwait	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.09.24	Al Kuwait - Nasaf Qarshi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kuwaiti Premier League
11.05.17	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0
26.02.17	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	0:3
09.04.16	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:0
26.12.15	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	1:3
02.10.14	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0
24.01.14	Al Kuwait - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0
31.08.13	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Kuwait	0:3

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