Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Al-Mabarrah		Shabab Al Sahel

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.98	2.18	Watch
	3.32	3.06	2.18	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.15
	3.33	3.22	2.18
	3.33	2.9	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)	3.01 ↓ (3.15)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Mabarrah
28%

Draw
30.1%

Shabab Al Sahel
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

28.1%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Mabarrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Shabab Al Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Mabarrah than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Al Mabarrah - Shabab Al Sahel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Siblini M. ⚽, Tarhini K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 5).

Al-Mabarrah has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shabab Al Sahel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Mabarrah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shabab Al Sahel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Mabarrah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Sahel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Mabarrah
Lebanese Cup
17.01.26	Hekmeh - Al-Mabarrah	2:1 penalties ✺
Lebanese Premier League
25.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Nejmeh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LWLWT
- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
30.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Jwaya	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
19.09.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Mabarrah	0:0

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