Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Al-Mabarrah		Al-Safa Beyrut

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.25	1.75	Watch
	4.33	3.45	1.76
	4.39	3.34	1.74
	4.2	3.2	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	1.76 (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Mabarrah
21.1%

Draw
27.4%

Al-Safa Beyrut
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.4%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25.9%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Mabarrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Al-Safa Beyrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Mabarrah than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Al Mabarrah - Al Safa Beyrut Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, El Mokdad H. ⚽,
59', Soumare B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Al-Mabarrah has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Safa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Al-Safa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Safa is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Mabarrah
Lebanese Premier League
21.12.25	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Nejmeh	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Mabarrah - Tadamon Sour	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Jwaya - Al-Mabarrah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTLL
- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
21.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Jwaya	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
02.12.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:6 ✺
09.11.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Bourj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW

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