Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Al-Safa Beyrut		Shabab Al Sahel

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.28	3.37
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.04	3.2	3.35
	2	3.14	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa Beyrut
44.8%

Draw
28.2%

Shabab Al Sahel
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa Beyrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Shabab Al Sahel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Al Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Haider H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).

Al-Safa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shabab Al Sahel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Shabab Al Sahel has had a series of home games.

Al-Safa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Safa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Beyrut
Lebanese Premier League
25.12.25	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Jwaya	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
02.12.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
26.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Jwaya	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
31.01.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0
25.08.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:1
26.11.22	Al-Safa Beyrut - Shabab Al Sahel	0:2

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