Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 29 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Referee: Magdy T. (Egy)


	Al Masry		Aswan

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.58	3.35	5.8
	1.78	3.2	4.4
	1.62	3.58	6.52
	1.62	3.25	5.8
	1.61	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.01)	3.42 ↑ (3)	5.5 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Masry
56.4%

Draw
26.9%

Aswan
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

32.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Masry's performance.

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aswan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Masry that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aswan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.2%	10.3%	3.4%

Al Masry - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: Al Masry will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Masry won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Al-Masry is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Al-Masry won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Masry won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Masry Club
Egyptian Premier League
25.12.22	Ismaily - Al Masry	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	Al Masry - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:2 ✺
16.12.22	Haras El-Hodood - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Al Masry	3:1 ✺
06.12.22	Al Masry - National Bank of Egypt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTLT
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
24.12.22	Aswan - ENPPI	2:0 ✺
19.12.22	Pyramids - Aswan	2:1 ✺
15.12.22	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:3 ✺
08.12.22	Smouha - Aswan	1:2 ✺
01.12.22	Aswan - Pharco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Cup
31.05.21	Aswan - Al Masry	3:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
05.05.21	Aswan - Al Masry	2:3
21.12.20	Al Masry - Aswan	3:0
28.09.20	Aswan - Al Masry	0:1
16.01.20	Al Masry - Aswan	2:2
26.05.17	Aswan - Al Masry	1:2
04.12.16	Al Masry - Aswan	3:1

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