Match Info

Stars League - Round 12

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Minaa		Al-Karkh

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.98	2.92
	2.41	2.95	2.94	Watch
	2.38	2.75	2.9
	2.4	2.93	2.92	Watch
	2.37	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.31)	2.88 ↓ (3.14)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
38%

Draw
31.3%

Al-Karkh
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Al Minaa - Al Karkh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 0.

Al-Minaa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Karkh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Minaa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Minaa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Al Minaa	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
09.01.26	Duhok - Al-Minaa	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Minaa - Newroz	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Al-Karma - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
10.01.26	Al-Karkh - Najaf	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Al-Karkh - Al Mosul	2:2 ✺
31.12.25	Zakho - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.05.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	1:1
04.10.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	1:2
06.04.24	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	1:3
11.12.21	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	1:1
09.04.21	Al-Karkh - Al-Minaa	2:1
12.12.20	Al-Minaa - Al-Karkh	2:2

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