Match Info

Stars League - Round 10

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Al-Karkh		Al Mosul

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.58	2.68
	2.93	2.78	2.56	Watch
	2.88	2.75	2.45
	2.86	2.63	2.61	Watch
	3.1	2.57	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.31)	2.66 ↓ (3.14)	2.56 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karkh
30.8%

Draw
33.9%

Al Mosul
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Karkh's form might have worsened.

Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Al Karkh - Al Mosul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Qasim A. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 2 - 0, Khalid Kofi M. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 2 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),
30', 2 - 2, Mohsen S. ⚽, Al Dali A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 15).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Mosul	9	2	2	5	9:15	-6	8
15	Al Karkh	8	2	1	5	10:14	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Karkh - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.62%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
31.12.25	Zakho - Al-Karkh	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Kahraba	1:1 ✺
27.10.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLTW
- Al Mosul SC
Iraqi Premier League
31.12.25	Al-Talaba - Al Mosul	0:0 ✺
22.12.25	Al Mosul - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Naft - Al Mosul	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa	1:3 ✺
26.09.25	Al Mosul - Najaf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWLW

Al-Karkh - Al Mosul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide