The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Shorta Baghdad 67.6%
Draw 20.9%
Al-Karkh 11.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.6%
22.4%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
21.1%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Al-Shorta Baghdad aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Karkh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Moumouni B. 🟥,
57', 0 - 1, Zeguei N. F. ⚽, Armid M. (A),
62', 1 - 1, Ali H. ⚽, Kuku K. (A),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 19th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 5.
Al-Shorta is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Al-Karkh has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Karkh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Al-Shorta holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Al-Shorta in today's match, at odds of 1.44.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Al-Shorta has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:8 (averaging 2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Shorta against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Al Shorta
11
5
5
1
12:5
7
20
17
Al Karkh
11
2
3
6
14:19
-5
9
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Shorta Baghdad - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 63.58%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
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