Match Info

Stars League - Round 7

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Al-Karkh

	1	X	2
	1.37	3.95	7.7
	1.38	4.04	8.15	Watch
	1.35	4	9.05
	1.39	4.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.46)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)	8.33 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
66.5%

Draw
22.5%

Al-Karkh
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

24.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

24.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Karkh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Leonel Ateba ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Leonel Ateba ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Leonel Ateba ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 4.

Al-Shorta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Karkh is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shorta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
AFC Champions League
03.11.25	Tractor Sazi - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
29.10.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karma	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.10.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:4 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
04.10.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League
31.10.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Kahraba	1:1 ✺
27.10.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Duhok - Al-Karkh	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
08.05.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	1:0
11.12.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2
21.05.24	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	2:1
08.03.24	Al-Karkh - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:4
20.05.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	0:1
14.12.22	Al-Karkh - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:3
29.05.22	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh	1:2

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