Match Info

Stars League - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iraq	18:00	Almanasa


	Al-Minaa		Ghaz Al Shamal

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.65
	2.08	2.85	3.56
	2.07	3	3.62	Watch
	2.05	2.80	3.50
	2.00	3.00	3.63
	2.02	3.00	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	3.6 (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Minaa
44.3%

Draw
30.7%

Ghaz Al Shamal
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Minaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ghaz Al Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Minaa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghaz Al Shamal than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Al Minaa - Ghaz Al Shamal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Samia Y. ⚽, Youssef F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Kararr J. ⚽,
81', Ali Barhi H. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 13th).

Recent results have been tough for Al-Minaa (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Ghaz Al Shamal have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Al-Minaa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Minaa	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
10	Ghaz Al Shamal	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
18.09.26	Al-Minaa - Duhok	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Minaa	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Minaa - Naft Maysan	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Naft	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Arbil - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL
- Ghaz Al Shamal
Iraqi Premier League
19.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Newroz	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Ghaz Al Shamal	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Duhok - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Ghaz Al Shamal - Al-Jolan	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Ghaz Al Shamal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 TTTLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Minaa
Iraqi Premier League
29.10.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Minaa	✺

Al-Minaa - Ghaz Al Shamal