Match Info
Stars League - Round 7Date: 14 September 2026, MondayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Almanasa |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Al-Naft |
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Karbala |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.55 |
3.35 |
5.3 |
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1.56 |
3.43 |
5.49 |
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 |
1.57 |
3.57 |
5.68 |
 Watch |
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1.54 |
3.35 |
5.4 |
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1.55 |
3.44 |
5.76 |
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 |
1.57 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.92) |
3.42 ↑
(3.1) |
5.51 ↑
(3.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Al-Naft
57.6% | Draw
26.2% | Karbala
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Naft's performance.Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karbala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Naft that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karbala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Al Naft - Karbala Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Al-Naft (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Naft (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Al Baqer M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 67', 1 - 0, Khalaf H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', 1 - 1, Gbadebo S. (Own goal),
- 90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 4.In recent matches, Al-Naft has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Karbala has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Al-Naft may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Al-Naft has had a series of away games. In this match, Al-Naft is considered a favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
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| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 27.06.25 | Karbala - Al-Naft | 2:4 | | 03.02.25 | Al-Naft - Karbala | 1:0 | | 31.05.24 | Al-Naft - Karbala | 1:1 | | 05.12.23 | Karbala - Al-Naft | 0:2 | | 24.02.23 | Al-Naft - Karbala | 1:0 | | 15.07.13 | Karbala - Al-Naft | N/A |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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