Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Al-Najma		Al-Faisaly

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.05	3
	2.4	2.95	3.16
	2.29	3.07	3.08	Watch
	2.25	3	2.9
	2.34	3.23	3.02	Watch
	2.29	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)	3.06 ↑ (3.04)	3.03 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
39.7%

Draw
30%

Al-Faisaly
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Al Najma - Al Faisaly Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Najma: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Aouacheria B. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Sow S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Al Boardi O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Recent matches Al-Najma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Faisaly is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Najma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Najma will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Al-Najma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Najma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Division 1
19.02.25	Neom - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Al-Najma - Al Jandal	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Al-Najma - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Al-Batin - Al-Najma	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Al-Najma - Al-Zulfi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWT
- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
18.02.25	Al-Faisaly - Abha	2:2 ✺
12.02.25	Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Al-Faisaly - Al Hazem	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Faisaly	3:3 ✺
23.01.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Jabalain	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
06.10.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Najma	2:2
21.05.24	Al-Najma - Al-Faisaly	0:2
01.01.24	Al-Faisaly - Al-Najma	1:2
Saudi King Cup
30.10.23	Al-Najma - Al-Faisaly	0:3

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