Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Al Majma'ah Sports City (Al Majma'ah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Faisaly		Abha

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.32
	2.91	3.25	2.26	Watch
	2.75	3	2.25
	3.02	2.98	2.3
	3	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.51)	3.07 ↓ (3.46)	2.29 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
31%

Draw
29.5%

Abha
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.2%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Faisaly's form might have worsened.

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Faisaly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Al Faisaly - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Abha will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Al Hasawi M. (G) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 22. Haddad M. 2. Barnawi Y. 3. Doshy M. 4. Raphael Silva 77. Al Shereaf A. 12. Morato 27. Al Rahmani S. 29. Al Sahli A. 90. Luvannor (C)	30. Al Jadani A. (G) 79. Al Jayzani F. 3. Gaari J. 4. Abuyabes M. 23. Al Oufi M. 14. Al Ghamdi F. 8. Al Daajani N. 77. Agi 11. Muralha 10. Al Mutairi M. 88. Sow S.
Substitutes
8. Al Badah A. 28. Al Fuhaid M. 14. Al Mogren A. 7. Al Nakhli M. 72. Gabous S. (G) 88. Haddad S. 37. Kadan W.	45. Akjah M. (G) 19. Al Fahad A. 93. Al Manhali S. 66. Al Mousa H. 28. Al Mutairi B. 20. Al Shammari H. 9. Al Sulays H. 12. Ibrahim Y. Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Agi ⚽, Al Mutairi M. (A),
26', Morato 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Sahli A. ↓, Al Nakhli M. ↑,
56', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Agi ⚽, Sow S. (A),
65', Abuyabes M. 🟨,
73', Al Mutairi M. 🟨,
74', Al Rahmani S. ↓, Al Mogren A. ↑,
81', Abuyabes M. ↓, Al Fahad A. ↑,
82', Al Mhemaid A. ↓, Kadan W. ↑,
82', Morato ↓, Al Badah A. ↑,
82', Barnawi Y. ↓, Haddad S. ↑,
84', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
90', Al Daajani N. ↓, Boumedmed K. ↑,
90', Agi ↓, Ibrahim Y. Y. ↑,
90+2', Boumedmed K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1.

Al-Faisaly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Abha is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
16.01.26	Al-Batin - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
26.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWT
- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
17.01.26	Abha - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Al-Adalh - Abha	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Abha - Al-Diriyah	2:1 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Batin - Abha	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Abha - Al-Taee	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
11.09.25	Abha - Al-Faisaly	2:2
18.02.25	Al-Faisaly - Abha	2:2
01.10.24	Abha - Al-Faisaly	3:1
Saudi Professional League
06.05.22	Abha - Al-Faisaly	0:0
04.11.21	Al-Faisaly - Abha	1:0
14.05.21	Al-Faisaly - Abha	2:1
07.01.21	Abha - Al-Faisaly	1:0

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