Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bahrain	Bahrain Sport 1
Finland	Fanseat


	Al-Najma		Sitra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3	2.48	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.61
	2.74	3.03	2.55	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.73	2.9	2.49
	2.71	2.83	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.99)	2.95 ↓ (3.12)	2.53 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
33.3%

Draw
30.8%

Sitra
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sitra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sitra than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Al Najma - Sitra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Al-Najma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Najma won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sitra	3	1	2	0	3:0	3	5
10	Al-Najma	3	1	0	2	5:10	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Manama
Bahraini Kings Cup
05.02.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Riffa	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Al Khalidiah - Al-Najma	3:0 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Najma - Bahrain SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Sitra Club
Gulf Club Champions League
10.02.26	Sitra - Al Ain	0:1 ✺
Bahraini Kings Cup
03.02.26	Al-Ettifaq - Sitra	2:0 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Sitra - Al-Riffa	1:3 ✺
15.01.26	Bahrain SC - Sitra	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Malkiya - Sitra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bahraini Premier League
25.09.25	Sitra - Al-Najma	0:0
20.05.25	Al-Najma - Sitra	1:1
08.02.25	Sitra - Al-Najma	0:0
18.04.24	Al-Najma - Sitra	2:2
Bahraini Cup
24.01.24	Sitra - Al-Najma	1:4
Bahraini Premier League
29.10.23	Sitra - Al-Najma	1:1
Bahraini Cup
08.10.21	Al-Najma - Sitra	3:0

Al-Najma - Sitra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide