Match Info

UAE League - Round 14

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Al-Nasr		Bani Yas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.02	3.68	3.44
	1.91	3.94	3.41	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.3
	1.94	3.43	3.83	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.63)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	3.46 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
47.5%

Draw
25.8%

Bani Yas
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nasr's form might have worsened.

Bani Yas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bani Yas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nasr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bani Yas than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bani Yas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Al Nasr - Bani Yas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Nasr will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Nasr will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shambih A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 4. Glauber 22. Hoibraaten M. 55. Petrovic D. 38. Ndiaye M. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 10. Ghayedi M. 17. Azarkan M. 13. Mierez R. 9. Santos J.	55. Mohamed F. (G) 18. Al Noobi S. 25. Djekovic N. 5. Hasan A. 21. Hunt M. 7. Awana F. (C) 63. Shukurov O. 77. Saviour G. 42. Wamba L. 3. Joao Victor 12. Niakate Y.
Substitutes
8. Abdulbasit M. 53. Adli M. (G) 20. Agudelo K. 60. Al Shammari A. R. 80. Al Somhi S. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 23. Doumbia C. 57. Faiz I. 6. Mahdi H. 15. Saatci S. 14. Sosu S. 2. Sultan S.	23. Al Hammadi K. 26. Al Mansoori K. 13. Al Menhali M. 20. Al Menhali S. 19. Dabbur M. 9. Fawzi A. 99. Faye B. 16. Hashemi K. 1. Khalaf M. (G) 27. Zamah M.
Coaches
Jokanovic S.	Isaila D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Saviour G. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 0 - 1, Wamba L. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Azarkan M. ↓, Doumbia C. ↑,
66', Ndiaye M. ↓, Agudelo K. ↑,
66', Santos J. ↓, Faiz I. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Niakate Y. ⚽,
72', Wamba L. ↓, Dabbur M. ↑,
86', Joao Victor ↓, Zamah M. ↑,
90+2', Niakate Y. ↓, Al Menhali S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 3.

In recent matches, Al-Nasr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bani Yas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Nasr is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
14	Bani Yas	5	0	1	4	5:10	-5	1

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Nasr - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 55.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
17.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	2:4 ✺
02.01.26	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTW
- Bani Yas Club
UAE Football League
18.01.26	Bani Yas - Al Bataeh	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Wahda - Bani Yas	3:0 ✺
02.01.26	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	1:2 ✺
29.12.25	Al Dhafra - Bani Yas	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bani Yas - Khor Fakkan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
02.01.26	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	1:2
UAE Presidents Cup
25.10.25	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	0:2
UAE Football League
09.02.25	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	0:0
29.08.24	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	4:1
02.03.24	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	1:0
26.08.23	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	4:2
11.03.23	Al-Nasr - Bani Yas	1:0

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