Match Info

UAE League - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
United Arab Emirates	17:05	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Abu Dhabi Sports 2


	Al-Nasr		Hatta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.30	5.25	6.75
	1.28	5.35	7.40	Watch
	1.32	5.84	8.07
	1.43	4.89	6.1	Watch
	1.29	5.75	7.95
	1.27	5.15	8.05	Watch
	1.29	5.40	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	5.38 ↑ (4.86)	7.39 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nasr
70.4%

Draw
17.2%

Hatta
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hatta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatta than the current prediction. (+2%)

Al Nasr - Hatta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shambih A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 15. Sanogo A. 4. Glauber 55. Petrovic D. 7. Agudelo K. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 57. Faiz I. 28. Toure A. 70. Hrustic A. 13. Mierez R.	22. Rashed M. (G) 3. Suleiman S. 33. Bruno Leonardo 52. Kaua Bastian 74. Khalid A. 16. Pedroza J. 10. Rchoq A. 80. Simon D. 11. Ben Larbi F. (C) 99. Faye B. 60. Coulibaly D.
Substitutes
5. Abdulbasit M. 9. Bedia C. 14. Felipe Motta 3. Gustavo Alemao 21. Idrees A. 30. Joao Moreira 6. Mahdi H. 38. Ndiaye M. 37. Salem S. (G) 2. Sultan S. 17. Wesley Delgado	44. Al-Balooshi I. (G) 49. Doumbia J. 28. Humaid H. 30. Jaziri S. 5. Khaled 50. Khameis S. (G) 36. Khauan Schlickmann 9. Pedrinho 2. Saeed O. 4. Walid A.
Coaches
Milojevic M.	Ilic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Mierez R. ⚽, Toure A. (A),
40', Glauber ↓, Felipe Motta ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Faiz I. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Toure A. ⚽, Mierez R. (A),
60', Hrustic A. ↓, Bedia C. ↑,
60', Al Zaabi Z. ↓, Joao Moreira ↑,
65', Faye B. ↓, Jaziri S. ↑,
65', Coulibaly D. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
71', Faiz I. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
71', Toure A. ↓, Wesley Delgado ↑,
73', Ben Larbi F. ↓, Humaid H. ↑,
81', Simon D. ↓, Khauan Schlickmann ↑,
81', Suleiman S. ↓, Walid A. ↑,
84', Humaid H. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 13th in the Relegation - Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5.

Al-Nasr is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hatta is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Al-Nasr may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Nasr enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Al-Nasr in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nasr has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:7 (averaging 2:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Nasr against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:4 goals (averaging 1.8:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Al Nasr	6	2	2	2	8:7	1	8
13	Hatta	6	1	0	5	5:13	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nasr SC
Gulf Club Champions League
13.10.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Riffa	3:0 ✺
UAE League Cup
08.10.26	Al-Nasr - Hatta	4:1 ✺
02.10.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Nasr - United FC	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
10.09.26	Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWT
- Hatta Club
UAE League Cup
08.10.26	Al-Nasr - Hatta	4:1 ✺
01.10.26	United FC - Hatta	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Hatta - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:2 ✺
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Hatta - Al Dhafra	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bani Yas - Hatta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UAE League Cup
08.10.26	Al-Nasr - Hatta	4:1
UAE Football League
28.03.24	Al-Nasr - Hatta	1:0
28.09.23	Hatta - Al-Nasr	0:3
26.02.21	Al-Nasr - Hatta	2:0
08.11.20	Hatta - Al-Nasr	0:3
19.12.19	Hatta - Al-Nasr	1:2
16.03.18	Al-Nasr - Hatta	2:1

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