Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 11

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
China	QQ Sports
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	SPOTV
Mexico	FOX One
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.1	9	19
	1.09	9.2	17.5
	1.08	11.56	19.62	Watch
	1.08	10	17
	1.05	9.3	18.5	Watch
	1.11	8.5	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 (1.09)	9.59 ↓ (10.96)	18.44 ↑ (15.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
85.3%

Draw
9.7%

Al Akhdoud
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.4%

8.5%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Nassr: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Al-Nassr (1.39) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -2.75 - Al-Nassr (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Aqidi N. (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 26. Martinez I. 5. Al Amri A. 12. Boushal N. 80. Wesley 20. Angelo 11. Brozovic M. 21. Coman K. 7. Ronaldo C. (C) 79. Joao Felix	94. Samuel Portugal (G) 87. Hawsawi G. 17. Gul G. 4. Al Rubaie S. 3. Al Salem A. 55. Borrell M. 6. Petros 18. Pedroza J. 88. Ashi I. 7. Narey K. 11. Ince B.
Substitutes
19. Al Hassan A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 83. Al Najdi S. 96. Al Nasser S. 4. Al Sharari N. 24. Bento (G) 77. Camara H. 29. Ghareeb A. 16. Maran M.	21. Abu Abd M. 14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. 12. Al Hatila A. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 8. Al Zabdani H. 9. Kramer B. 10. Nayef M.
Coaches
Jesus J.	Paulo Sergio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Al Amri A. (A),
40', Narey K. ↓, Kramer B. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Brozovic M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
69', Wesley ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
69', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
78', Pedroza J. ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
79', Borrell M. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
83', Ince B. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
83', Al Salem A. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
88', Brozovic M. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
88', Coman K. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
90+2', Al Harthi S. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Joao Felix ⚽, Boushal N. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al-Nassr is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 4.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Zawraa	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.25	Al-Wahda - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
26.11.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:4 ✺
Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Khaleej	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
25.10.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
12.05.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:9
09.01.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:1
09.05.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3
24.11.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:0

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