The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Wahda 10%
Draw 14.9%
Al-Nassr Riyadh 75.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.9%
21.8%
63.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.4%
21.1%
65.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Wahda - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Al Shamsi M. (G) 60. Abaelaziz B. 80. Abdullah A. 87. Al Balushi A. 94. Diarra B. 22. Folha B. 9. Ghandipour R. 6. Ghorbani M. 12. Hamad A. 30. Ogbu F. I. 10. Tadic D. (C)
24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 83. Al Najdi S. 20. Angelo 11. Brozovic M. 21. Coman K. 79. Joao Felix 26. Martinez I. 7. Ronaldo C. (C) 3. Simakan M. 80. Wesley
Substitutes
. Al Balooshi M. 92. Al Falahi Z. 68. Ali M. 26. Ammar H. (G) 32. Guga 88. Lazovic D. . Mayed A. 14. Naser K. 38. Pradas A. 27. Trayi L.
. Abkar 61. Al Buainain M. (G) 19. Al Hassan A. 5. Al Mas N. 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 77. Camara H. 29. Ghareeb A. 60. Haqawi S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Kruspzky F. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Coman K. ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Tadic D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 2 - 3, Camara H. ⚽,
78', 2 - 4, Al Nasser S. ⚽,
Preview
Al-Wahda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al-Nassr is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Al-Wahda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).