Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hisor Central Stadium (Hisor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Ukraine	Sport 2, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Istiklol Dushanbe		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.3	4.95	1.33	Watch
	6.7	4.9	1.3
	13.55	5.99	1.20	Watch
	8.55	5.14	1.31	Watch
	7.5	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.72 ↓ (13.55)	5.2 ↓ (5.99)	1.29 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istiklol Dushanbe
10.6%

Draw
17.8%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.9%

15.5%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Istiklol Dushanbe - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.75 - Istiklol (1.63) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Istiklol (votes: 4 - 80%). Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stosic N. (C) 55. Safarov M. 4. Chobanov M. 5. Kurbonov S. 3. Islomov T. 11. Rakhimov M. 8. Haghnazari S. 6. Juraboev A. 17. Pandzhshanbe E. 33. Okoro J. 9. Soirov R.	24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. (C) 3. Simakan M. 5. Al Amri A. 83. Al Najdi S. 20. Angelo 19. Al Hassan A. 11. Brozovic M. 80. Wesley 16. Maran M. 79. Joao Felix
Substitutes
77. Dehghani R. 10. Dzhalilov A. 63. Dzhalilov M. 21. Dzhalilov R. 28. Gafurov M. 66. Kamolov R. 99. Khasanov M. (G) 43. Komolafe P. 19. Nazarov A. 70. Sulaymonov S. 15. Suslov K. 95. Turkaj R.	61. Al Buainain M. (G) 56. Al Ghamdi R. 17. Al Khaibari A. 36. Al Najjar R. (G) 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 12. Boushal N. 77. Camara H. 60. Haqawi S. 10. Mane S. 26. Martinez I. 23. Yahya A.
Coaches
Baturenko Y.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Joao Felix (Pen),
18', Okoro J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Simakan M. ⚽, Al Hassan A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chobanov M. ↓, Dehghani R. ↑,
46', Haghnazari S. ↓, Komolafe P. ↑,
67', Maran M. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
67', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
67', Simakan M. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
80', Brozovic M. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
80', Al Najdi S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
82', Soirov R. ↓, Gafurov M. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Mane S. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
90', Al Ghannam S. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 4, Yahya A. ⚽, Angelo (A),

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Istiklol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istiklol Dushanbe
Tajik League
10.11.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Zawraa - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:1 ✺
Tajik League
28.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Ravshan Kulob	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Zawraa	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Istiklol Dushanbe - Goa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
23.11.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Khaleej	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Neom - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
05.11.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Goa	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
01.11.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Feiha	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.10.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe	5:0
AFC Champions League
05.12.23	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1
02.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe	3:1

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