Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al Qadsia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	1.85	4	3.2
	1.55	4.3	4
	2.31	3.87	2.72
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	2.4	3.56	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)	3.78 ↓ (3.89)	3 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
44.1%

Draw
24.7%

Al Qadsia
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

23.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

15.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al Qadsia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Qadsia than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Qadsia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Qadsia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Al-Nassr is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Qadsia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al Qadsia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Al-Nassr will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Nassr won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
01.11.20	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
Saudi King Cup
27.10.20	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.10.20	Al-Taawoun - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
03.10.20	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Persepolis	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Al Qadsia Kuwait
Kuwaiti Premier League
06.11.20	Al Qadsia - Al Jahra	2:1 ✺
02.11.20	Al Qadsia - Al-Fahaheel	2:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
29.10.20	Al Qadsia - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
Kuwaiti Premier League
29.10.20	Al-Arabi Doha - Al Qadsia	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Al Sahel - Al Qadsia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
06.02.19	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Qadsia	3:1
19.09.18	Al Qadsia - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3
12.04.18	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Qadsia	2:1
09.12.17	Al Qadsia - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2
26.01.17	Al Qadsia - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2
17.09.16	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Qadsia	1:0
04.02.16	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Qadsia	0:0

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