Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Al-Jouf University Stadium (Sakakah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Orobah		Al-Khaleej

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.9
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.21	3.55	2.95
	2.25	3.62	3.02
	2.23	3.58	2.96
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.32	3.68	3.05	Watch
	2.21	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.75)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.99 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Orobah
42.5%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Khaleej
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

25.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Orobah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Orobah's performance.

Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Khaleej might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Orobah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Khaleej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Orobah - Al Khaleej Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Orobah will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Orobah (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Coucke G. (G) 11. Al Maqati H. (C) 3. Kandouss I. 5. Zouma K. 14. Abu Taha M. 88. Al Khalaf O. 73. Muhar K. 33. Al Shuwaish H. 37. Tello C. 7. Gudmundsson J. 99. Al Somah O.	22. Ozaybi R. (G) 39. Al Hamsal S. 20. Al Fahad A. 3. Al Khabrani M. (C) 5. Rebocho P. 21. Kourbelis D. 15. Hamzi M. 99. Murg T. 17. Fortounis K. 47. Aboulshamat S. 11. Al Salem A.
Substitutes
6. Al Qarni M. 12. Al Quamiri N. 80. Al Rashidi F. 18. Al Shammari A. 40. Al Shanqiti M. 27. Al Terais F. 50. Al Timawi M. (G) 29. Al Zubaidi F. 66. Barnawi M.	35. Al Dossary R. (G) 18. Al Hawsawi M. 25. Al Haydar A. 8. Al Samiri K. 14. Al Shaafi A. 71. Al Sultan H. 33. Nasser B. 48. Seye B. 9. Sherif M.
Coaches
Cazorla A.	Donis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Kandouss I. ⚽, Tello C. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Fortounis K. (Pen),
45+1', Al Khalaf O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Al Maqati H. 🟨,
53', Al Hamsal S. 🟨,
56', Al Shuwaish H. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
56', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
69', Aboulshamat S. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
69', Al Salem A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Fortounis K. ⚽, Rebocho P. (A),
83', Tello C. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
86', Murg T. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
87', Fortounis K. 🟨,
90', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,
90+4', Fortounis K. ↓, Seye B. ↑,
90+5', Kourbelis D. 🟨,
90+7', Al Terais F. 🟨,
90+9', Ozaybi R. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Orobah won 2.

Al-Orobah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Khaleej is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Khaleej may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Orobah won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Orobah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Orobah FC
Saudi Professional League
12.05.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Orobah	4:0 ✺
01.05.25	Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah	2:4 ✺
24.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Feiha	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:4 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Orobah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL
- Al-Khaleej Club of Saihat
Saudi Professional League
10.05.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Riyadh	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Khaleej - Al Fateh	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
17.01.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Orobah	3:0
Saudi Division 1
07.03.22	Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej	0:1
27.10.21	Al-Khaleej - Al-Orobah	1:2
05.02.19	Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej	0:0
18.09.18	Al-Khaleej - Al-Orobah	1:2
13.03.18	Al-Khaleej - Al-Orobah	0:0
Saudi Professional League
04.04.15	Al-Khaleej - Al-Orobah	2:0

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