Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 20

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Dammam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al-Khaleej		Al-Qadisiya

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.57
	4.45	4.25	1.6
	4.8	4.63	1.59
	4.38	4.56	1.62
	4	3.9	1.62
	4.45	4.15	1.58	Watch
	4.75	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.03)	4.31 ↑ (3.91)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Khaleej
20.6%

Draw
21.4%

Al-Qadisiya
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

23.5%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

23.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Al Khaleej - Al Qadisiya Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Qadisiya will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (G) 13. Asiri A. 17. Al Hafith A. 3. Al Khabrani M. (C) 39. Al Hamsal S. 11. Fernandes P. 15. Hamzi M. 12. Kanabah M. 5. Rebocho P. 7. King J. 9. Masouras G.	28. Al Kassar A. (G) 2. Abu Al Shamat M. 4. Thakri J. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 17. Alvarez G. 8. Nandez N. 10. Al Juwayr M. 5. Weigl J. 7. Al Ammar T. 33. Quinones J. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
20. Al-Eissa H. 31. Al Ghanem M. (G) 25. Al Haydar A. 26. Al Shanqiti R. 27. Al Zaynaldeen A. 21. Kourbelis D. 8. Mboge A. 16. Munshi B. M. 33. Nasser B.	23. Al Ahmad W. 9. Al Salem A. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 19. Asiri H. 20. Gabriel Carvalho 11. Hazazi A. A. 27. Houssa E. 40. Mahnashi I. 50. Sunyur M. (G)
Coaches
Donis G.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Retegui M. 🟨,
35', Nandez N. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Retegui M. ⚽, Quinones J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Asiri A. 🟨,
58', Hamzi M. 🟨,
64', Al Ammar T. ↓, Hazazi A. A. ↑,
69', Al Hamsal S. ↓, Munshi B. M. ↑,
77', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Gabriel Carvalho ↑,
77', Kanabah M. ↓, Kourbelis D. ↑,
81', Hazazi A. A. 🟨,
81', Hamzi M. ↓, Al-Eissa H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

Al-Khaleej has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Qadisiya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Qadsiah	8	6	1	1	21:8	13	19
13	Al Khaleej	8	0	6	2	4:11	-7	6

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Qadisiya - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.75%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Khaleej Club of Saihat
Saudi Professional League
28.01.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Khaleej	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud	4:1 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLWW
- Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League
29.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Hilal	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Al Hazem - Al-Qadisiya	1:5 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Feiha	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
19.09.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Khaleej	2:1
23.04.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	1:1
29.11.24	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Khaleej	1:0
Saudi Division 1
01.03.22	Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya	1:0
20.10.21	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Khaleej	1:2

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