Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 30

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al-Riyadh		Al-Orobah

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.9	3.6	3.75
	1.85	3.65	3.9
	1.98	3.7	3.83
	1.82	3.72	4.06	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.81	3.64	3.92	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)	3.6 ↓ (3.72)	3.87 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riyadh
50.2%

Draw
25.8%

Al-Orobah
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Riyadh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Al Riyadh - Al Orobah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Al-Riyadh (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Riyadh will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Riyadh (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Borjan M. (G) 27. Al Nuweqi H. 29. Asiri A. 5. Barbet Y. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 88. Al Shehri Y. (C) 20. Toze 21. Lucas Kal 43. Mensah B. 11. Bayesh I. 85. Haji T.	28. Coucke G. (G) 11. Al Maqati H. (C) 3. Kandouss I. 5. Zouma K. 13. Al Zubaidi I. 6. Al Qarni M. 73. Muhar K. 37. Tello C. 7. Gudmundsson J. 14. Abu Taha M. 99. Al Somah O.
Substitutes
10. Al Abed N. 7. Al Aqel M. S. M. 24. Al Bloushi R. 25. Al Menhali S. 40. Al Shammari A. (G) 13. Konate M. 99. Sali E. 87. Tambakti M. H. 6. Zaydan S.	88. Al Khalaf O. 80. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Ruwaili R. (G) 18. Al Shammari A. 40. Al Shanqiti M. 33. Al Shuwaish H. 27. Al Terais F. 29. Al Zubaidi F. 66. Barnawi M.
Coaches
Al Otaibi H.	Hamad A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Al Somah O. ⚽, Abu Taha M. (A),
42', Al Qarni M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Haji T. ⚽,
45+3', Abu Taha M. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Mensah B. ⚽, Al Shehri Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Al Maqati H. ↓, Al Khalaf O. ↑,
46', Al Qarni M. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi I. (A),
59', Haji T. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
68', Al Shehri Y. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
69', Muhar K. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
69', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Tambakti M. H. ↑,
70', Barbet Y. 🟨,
76', Abu Taha M. ↓, Al Shuwaish H. ↑,
81', Al Rashidi F. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Gudmundsson J. ⚽, Al Shuwaish H. (A),
87', Gudmundsson J. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
88', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Zubaidi F. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Recent form of Al-Riyadh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Al-Orobah has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).

Al-Riyadh could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

In this match, Al-Riyadh is a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1 (average 0.8:0.2).

Including matches at home between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riyadh SC
Saudi Professional League
23.04.25	Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Al-Riyadh - Damac	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL
- Al-Orobah FC
Saudi Professional League
24.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Feiha	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:4 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Orobah	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al Akhdoud	0:1 ✺
13.03.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Orobah	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
06.12.24	Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh	0:1
Saudi Division 1
16.05.23	Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah	1:0
03.01.23	Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh	0:1
18.03.16	Al-Orobah - Al-Riyadh	1:1
20.11.15	Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah	0:0

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