Match Info

Stars League - Round 36

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Al-Qasim		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	8.6	4.55	1.29
	9.52	4.85	1.25
	9.12	5.13	1.27	Watch
	8.5	4.2	1.3
	8.9	4.8	1.28
	5.4	3.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.34 ↑ (5.4)	4.52 ↑ (3.6)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Qasim
11%

Draw
20.2%

Naft Maysan
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25.3%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qasim's form might have worsened.

Naft Maysan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naft Maysan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naft Maysan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Al Qasim - Naft Maysan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Qasim will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Naft Maysan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Basim A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Basim A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
55', 2 - 1, Maraksi R. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Abdul F. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Gueye Dieme D. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Sioud N. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 5, Sioud N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Al-Qasim is Relegated to

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Naft Maysan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Qasim SC
Iraqi Premier League
14.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Duhok - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Minaa	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Qasim	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 54.9 TLTTT
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
14.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Duhok - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Zakho - Naft Maysan	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.02.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	2:1
03.05.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	0:1
22.09.24	Al-Qasim - Naft Maysan	1:2
30.04.24	Naft Maysan - Al-Qasim	2:2
04.12.23	Al-Qasim - Naft Maysan	0:3

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