Match Info

Stars League - Round 35

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Naft Maysan		Al-Karma

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.82
	3.28	3.78	1.84
	3.83	3.94	1.73	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.75
	4.18	3.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (3.84)	3.55 ↑ (3.21)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naft Maysan
23.8%

Draw
25.4%

Al-Karma
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

28.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Naft Maysan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-2%)

Naft Maysan - Al Karma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Salam M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+14', 1 - 1, Abdelkader A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Al-Karma is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naft Maysan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Naft Maysan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Naft Maysan - the odds 3.84 are the expected chance of winning is 23.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
10.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Duhok - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Zakho - Naft Maysan	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Naft Maysan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLLTW
- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
10.05.26	Al-Karma - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Karma - Newroz	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Al-Qasim - Al-Karma	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Karkh - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.02.26	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	3:0
20.02.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karma	3:2
06.12.24	Al-Karma - Naft Maysan	1:2

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