Match Info

Stars League - Round 33

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Duhok Stadium (Duhok)


	Duhok		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	1.69	3.58	4.15
	1.77	3.48	4.16	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.75	3.38	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	3.35 ↓ (3.38)	4.11 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duhok
51.1%

Draw
27%

Naft Maysan
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Duhok aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Duhok - Naft Maysan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Gueye Dieme D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Gwargis P. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Gwargis P. ⚽,
90+5', Alwan Sjaad Jabbar 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Naft Maysan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Duhok is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duhok won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Duhok won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Duhok	8	1	6	1	11:11	0	9
18	Naft Missan	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
01.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Duhok	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Najaf - Duhok	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Duhok - Al-Gharraf	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Duhok - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Amanat Baghdad - Duhok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTLL
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
01.05.26	Zakho - Naft Maysan	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Kahraba - Naft Maysan	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al Mosul	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Diyala - Naft Maysan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.11.25	Naft Maysan - Duhok	2:2
28.05.25	Duhok - Naft Maysan	0:0
20.01.25	Naft Maysan - Duhok	0:2
14.07.24	Duhok - Naft Maysan	2:2
08.11.13	Naft Maysan - Duhok	1:1

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