Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 27

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)


	Al Raed		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.77	3.75	4.2
	1.78	3.75	4.2
	1.83	4	4.5
	1.75	4	4.32
	1.67	3.6	3.9
	1.75	3.74	4.2
	1.75	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	3.76 ↓ (3.77)	4.22 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
53.1%

Draw
24.8%

Al Hazem
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.7%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

24.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Al Hazem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Al Raed - Al Hazem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreira A. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 21. Gonzalez O. 5. Loum M. 24. Al Subaie K. 28. Al Jayzani H. 43. Al Yousif A. 49. Al Ghamdi F. 14. Al Beshe M. 11. El Berkaoui K. 17. Tavares J.	30. Dahmen A. (G) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 2. Ricardo P. 36. Bruno Viana 27. Qasheesh M. 11. Al Thani M. 16. Al Juwaid A. 95. Al Mousa R. 20. Toze 10. Selemani F. 7. Al Shammari Y.
Substitutes
20. Al Dosari R. 19. Al Fahad A. 9. Al Ghamdi R. 23. Al Harbi A. (G) 94. Al Rajeh M. 18. Hazazi N. 6. Majrashi A. 13. Shami A. 45. Sunbul Y.	12. Al Aazmi F. 3. Al Absi T. 13. Al Bakr Y. 19. Al Habashi N. 18. Al Salman A. 90. Badamosi M. 93. Moreno J. 29. Vina 23. Zaid I. (G)
Coaches
Jovicevic I.	Carreno D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Tavares J. ⚽, Al Subaie K. (A),
45+3', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Tavares J. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
53', Al Thani M. ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
53', Al Juwaid A. ↓, Al Habashi N. ↑,
54', Qasheesh M. ↓, Al Bakr Y. ↑,
65', Al Dossary M. ↓, Al Rajeh M. ↑,
78', Selemani F. ↓, Al Salman A. ↑,
78', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Hazazi N. ↑,
82', El Berkaoui K. 🟨,
82', Bruno Viana 🟨,
88', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
88', Al Jayzani H. ↓, Majrashi A. ↑,
88', Al Subaie K. ↓, Al Fahad A. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Raed won 3.

Recent matches Al Raed is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al Hazem is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Al Raed is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Al Raed won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Al Raed won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
01.04.24	Al Raed - Al-Khaleej	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Al Akhdoud - Al Raed	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Al Raed - Al-Taawoun	0:0 ✺
07.03.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Raed	1:3 ✺
29.02.24	Al Raed - Al-Feiha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 LWTWL
- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
01.04.24	Al Hazem - Damac	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Al-Taawoun - Al Hazem	4:0 ✺
14.03.24	Al Hazem - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:3 ✺
08.03.24	Al-Taee - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
29.02.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
21.10.23	Al Hazem - Al Raed	4:3
22.01.22	Al Hazem - Al Raed	2:0
25.08.21	Al Raed - Al Hazem	2:0
14.08.20	Al Raed - Al Hazem	3:1
22.11.19	Al Hazem - Al Raed	2:3
11.04.19	Al Hazem - Al Raed	1:0
20.12.18	Al Raed - Al Hazem	1:0

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