Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 33

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports Extra 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al Akhdoud		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.5
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.67	3.85	4.7
	1.72	4.01	4.74
	1.67	3.93	4.71	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.78	4.08	4.48	Watch
	1.67	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.61)	3.89 ↓ (4)	4.57 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
55.4%

Draw
24.1%

Al Raed
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

19.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Akhdoud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Akhdoud - Al Raed Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al Akhdoud will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Akhdoud will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Vitor P. (G) 15. Asiri N. 4. Al Rubaie S. 12. Al Hatila A. 27. Khamis A. 18. Pedroza J. 11. Musona K. 2. Al Saeed M. 13. Bassogog C. 10. Saviour G. 7. Pato	1. Moreira A. (G) 12. Al Hawsawi Z. 21. Gonzalez O. 16. Qasmi A. 94. Al Rajeh M. 4. Hazazi A. 26. Bouzok Y. 5. Tweh S. 15. Al Amri S. 28. Al Jayzani H. 11. El Berkaoui K.
Substitutes
14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. 21. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 8. Al Zabdani H. 26. Al Zubaidi Y. 87. Hawsawi G. 19. Salem S.	99. Al Khaibri T. 48. Al Nahet F. 30. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 34. Al Sayil A. 52. Al Shuqayran T. 13. Al Yousif A. 18. Hazazi N. 36. Sayadi A. 70. Turay M.
Coaches
Paulo Sergio	El Hassan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Saviour G. ⚽, Musona K. (A),
64', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Al Khaibri T. ↑,
67', Al Hatila A. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
67', Hazazi A. 🟨,
79', Qasmi A. ↓, Al Yousif A. ↑,
79', Bouzok Y. ↓, Hazazi N. ↑,
81', Pedroza J. 🟨,
83', Pato 🟨,
89', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Al Sayil A. ↑,
89', Tweh S. ↓, Al Nahet F. ↑,
90+4', Saviour G. ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
90+7', Al Sayil A. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al Raed is Relegated to Division 1

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Al Akhdoud is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
17.05.25	Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:9 ✺
01.05.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWT
- Al Raed
Saudi Professional League
15.05.25	Al Raed - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Damac - Al Raed	1:0 ✺
07.05.25	Al Raed - Al-Hilal	3:5 ✺
24.04.25	Al-Taawoun - Al Raed	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
20.01.25	Al Raed - Al Akhdoud	0:2
29.03.24	Al Akhdoud - Al Raed	1:3
30.09.23	Al Raed - Al Akhdoud	1:2

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