Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 26

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports Extra 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now


	Al Raed		Al-Khaleej

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.75	3.3	2.4
	2.8	3.4	2.39
	2.86	3.4	2.37
	2.62	3.1	2.4
	2.82	3.38	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.15)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	2.35 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Raed
33.3%

Draw
27.6%

Al-Khaleej
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Al Raed - Al Khaleej Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Khaleej (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreira A. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 94. Al Rajeh M. 21. Gonzalez O. 12. Al Hawsawi Z. 17. Abeid M. 8. Normann M. 26. Bouzok Y. 7. Sayoud A. 15. Al Amri S. 11. El Berkaoui K.	22. Ozaybi R. (G) 39. Al Hamsal S. 20. Al Fahad A. 3. Al Khabrani M. 5. Rebocho P. 15. Hamzi M. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 99. Murg T. 17. Fortounis K. 10. Martins F. 11. Al Salem A.
Substitutes
28. Al Jayzani H. 99. Al Khaibri T. 24. Al Subaie K. 13. Al Yousif A. 4. Hazazi A. 18. Hazazi N. 45. Sunbul Y. 50. Sunyur M. (G) 70. Turay M.	47. Aboulshamat S. 66. Absa T. A. H. 19. Al Abdullah M. 35. Al Dossary R. (G) 8. Al Samiri K. 14. Al Shaafi A. 21. Kourbelis D. 33. Nasser B. 9. Sherif M.
Coaches
Rezic K.	Donis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, El Berkaoui K. ⚽, Sayoud A. (A),
34', Al Amri S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Al Hawsawi M. 🟨,
59', Al Dossary M. ↓, Hazazi A. ↑,
59', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Al Subaie K. ↑,
61', Al Khabrani M. 🟨,
63', Al Hamsal S. ↓, Kourbelis D. ↑,
66', El Berkaoui K. ↓, Al Khaibri T. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Al Hawsawi M. ⚽, Hamzi M. (A),
78', Fortounis K. 🟨,
83', Al Hawsawi M. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
83', Martins F. ↓, Aboulshamat S. ↑,
84', Bouzok Y. ↓, Turay M. ↑,
84', Al Rajeh M. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
89', Murg T. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 2, Fortounis K. ⚽,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Raed won 0.

Al Raed has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Khaleej is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Khaleej could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Al Raed won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6:19 (average 0.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Raed won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Raed
Saudi King Cup
02.04.25	Al-Qadisiya - Al Raed	1:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.03.25	Al Fateh - Al Raed	3:1 ✺
06.03.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Raed	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Al Raed - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Al Raed - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Al-Khaleej Club of Saihat
Saudi Professional League
14.03.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Khaleej	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Al-Kholood - Al-Khaleej	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Al-Khaleej - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
20.02.25	Al-Feiha - Al-Khaleej	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
01.11.24	Al-Khaleej - Al Raed	4:0
01.04.24	Al Raed - Al-Khaleej	0:1
07.10.23	Al-Khaleej - Al Raed	0:0
27.05.23	Al Raed - Al-Khaleej	0:0
20.01.23	Al-Khaleej - Al Raed	3:0
04.05.17	Al-Khaleej - Al Raed	1:2
16.12.16	Al Raed - Al-Khaleej	3:2

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