Match Info

ASIA: AFC CUP - ROUND 5

Date: 27 November 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Al-Riffa		Nejmeh

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.75	8	Watch
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.32	4.8	8.4
	1.33	4.75	8.4
	1.25	4.75	8.5
	1.31	5	9.2	Watch
	1.32	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	4.79 ↑ (4.41)	8.53 ↑ (7.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Riffa
70.2%

Draw
19.1%

Nejmeh
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.3%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Nejmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Riffa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nejmeh than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Al Riffa - Nejmeh Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Riffa will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Fardan A. (G) 15. Al-Shamsan H. 16. Hasan S. 28. Ali H. 12. Djordjevic L. 14. Haram A. 10. Al Aswad K. (C) 13. Shaikh A. J. 18. Isa A. H. 11. Al-Attar M. 17. Sayed Hashim	1. Al Sabaa A. (G) 13. Moghrabi A. 18. El Zein K. 19. Hamam A. (C) 16. Safwan M. H. 5. Khairdien A. 10. Al Zain M. 20. Kourani H. 24. Sabra M. 90. Embalo J. 26. Bilonog D.
Substitutes
1. Al Ajmi M. A. A. A. (G) 2. Al Asam S. 19. Ali Al Eker H. 5. Anez M. 4. Baqer S. M. 21. Benmansour Y. 22. Bosharrar F. 29. Efrih A. (G) 7. Khalid A. 25. Mohamed Q. 9. Silva A. 8. Vargas	17. Al Hajjar K. 14. Al Samahi Z. 77. Awada S. 7. Bader K. 22. Bechara M. 21. Costa G. 11. Markabawi M. 9. Mhana H. 3. Murtada H. 6. Najdi B. 70. Sadek M. 25. Zahr M. (G)

Preview

Al-Riffa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nejmeh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Riffa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Riffa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Riffa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Riffa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Riffa SC
Bahraini Cup
18.11.23	Al-Riffa - Malkiya	2:2 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
10.11.23	Al-Riffa - East Riffa Club	0:1 ✺
AFC Cup
06.11.23	Al-Riffa - Al-Arabi Doha	2:1 ✺
Bahraini Premier League
28.10.23	Al-Hala - Al-Riffa	1:2 ✺
AFC Cup
23.10.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Riffa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWW
- Nejmeh SC
Lebanese Premier League
11.11.23	Nejmeh - Hekmeh	2:1 ✺
AFC Cup
06.11.23	Nejmeh - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
Lebanese Premier League
29.10.23	Tripoli - Nejmeh	1:2 ✺
AFC Cup
23.10.23	Al-Zawraa - Nejmeh	4:1 ✺
02.10.23	Al-Arabi Doha - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Cup
18.09.23	Nejmeh - Al-Riffa	0:2
15.04.15	Nejmeh - Al-Riffa	1:1
18.03.15	Al-Riffa - Nejmeh	2:1

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